2026 Cognizant Classic odds, picks: Surprising predictions by golf model that's called 16 majors
CBS Sports
by
Daniel Lewis
February 25, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
The 2026 Cognizant Classic in the Palm Beaches is set to begin on February 26 at the PGA National Champion Course, featuring a mix of established stars and rising talents. SportsLine’s proprietary model, known for its accuracy in predicting major championships, has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and uncovered some surprising projections. While Ryan Gerard is listed as the favorite at +1600 odds, Shane Lowry, despite his status as a past Open Championship winner and second-favorite, is surprisingly projected to finish outside the top three. This prediction comes after Lowry’s recent struggles on the PGA Tour, where he has not secured an individual victory since 2019.
The model also highlights Daniel Berger as a strong contender, with odds of +2700, despite his relatively low ranking on the initial odds board. Berger has shown consistent performance at this event, formerly known as the Honda Classic, with three top-five finishes, including one in 2022. However, his recent form has been inconsistent, with struggles in his last two appearances.
The model’s projections emphasize the importance of course-specific history and past performances, which can often set apart contenders from the field. With the tournament’s unique layout and historical data playing a crucial role, Berger’s prior success at this venue gives him an edge despite his recent form. Additionally, the model suggests several longshots with odds of +3000 or higher who could potentially make a significant impact on the leaderboard.
For golf enthusiasts and fantasy sports players alike, these predictions offer valuable insights into potential betting strategies and DFS picks. The model’s track record of accurately predicting 16 majors highlights its reliability, making it a trusted source for fans looking to capitalize on this week’s event. As the tournament approaches, the projected leaderboard and odds provide a fascinating glimpse into what could unfold at the Cognizant Classic.
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Originally published on CBS Sports on 2/25/2026