2026 NFL mock draft: Mel Kiper's pick predictions for Round 1 - ESPN
ESPN
by Mel Kiper Jr.February 24, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
Mel Kiper Jr.'s latest 2026 NFL mock draft offers insight into how teams might approach the upcoming draft class, with notable picks and shifts in team needs shaping the first round. As players prepare for the combine, Kiper projects a strong likelihood of risers emerging and significant changes in team priorities due to free agency and trades. His second mock draft reflects some stability since his January predictions but acknowledges the potential for shake-ups ahead of April's draft.
The Raiders land the top pick with Fernando Mendoza, a highly touted quarterback from Indiana, seen as the clear standout in this year’s class. Mendoza’s precision and leadership align perfectly with Las Vegas’s needs under new coach Klint Kubiak, who will build an offense around him alongside star running back Ashton Jeanty and tight end Brock Bowers. The Jets, looking to bolster a historically weak defense, take Caleb Downs, a safety from Ohio State. Downs is a game-changer with elite coverage skills and playmaking ability, addressing the franchise’s desperate need for defensive impact after a dismal 2025 season.
The Cardinals select David Bailey, an explosive edge rusher from Texas Tech, to shore up their defense after a lackluster performance in generating sacks last year. Meanwhile, the Titans opt for Arvell Reese, a dynamic linebacker from Ohio State, to fortify their struggling pass rush. These selections highlight how teams are prioritizing defensive upgrades, with many targeting players who can immediately make an impact.
Kiper’s mock draft underscores the importance of addressing both immediate and long-term needs while considering potential trade implications. The Raiders’ pick of Mendoza signals a franchise-altering decision, while the Jets and Cardinals focus on shoring up their defenses to compete in a competitive AFC. With
Verticals
sports
Originally published on ESPN on 2/24/2026