America Doesn’t Need a Deal or a War With Iran
The Atlantic
February 23, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
The United States does not need a deal or a war with Iran, according to recent analyses. While Washington has amassed significant military力量 in the Middle East, including two carrier strike groups and advanced fighter jets, this buildup reflects strategic confusion rather than a clear plan. The U.S. holds considerable leverage over Iran due to its economic pressure campaign and the internal fragility of the Iranian regime, which faces domestic unrest, economic strain, and a potential leadership crisis.
Iran’s nuclear program remains a focal point, with U.S. officials claiming it is close to obtaining industrial-grade materials for a bomb. However, this narrative overlooks past actions, such as the 2015 nuclear deal and the 2025 strikes on Iranian targets, which set back their nuclear progress. These events demonstrate that Iran knows rebuilding its program could trigger further military action. Despite this, the U.S. administration appears to treat the situation as urgent, pushing for maximalist demands like complete uranium enrichment cessation and missile program restrictions.
A comprehensive deal requiring Iran to abandon enrichment entirely could unintentionally ease its economic isolation, offering relief at a time when internal pressures are rising. Instead, a more limited agreement resembling the 2015 deal but with stricter terms could maintain pressure on Tehran while avoiding the risks of over-relief. The U.S. should capitalize on its leverage by allowing Iran’s vulnerabilities to grow, rather than rushing into a deal or resorting to war.
The stakes are high for both nations. A patient approach that sustains pressure on Iran could ultimately lead to a better nuclear agreement and weaken the Iranian regime’s grip. By avoiding unnecessary conflict and focusing on strategic patience, Washington can navigate this critical juncture without losing its leverage.
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Originally published on The Atlantic on 2/23/2026