Bracketology: Experts predict NCAA Tournament bracket before committee reveals early top 16 seeds
CBS Sports
by
David Cobb
February 20, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
The NCAA Tournament selection committee is set to release its bracket preview on Saturday, offering fans a glimpse into the top-16 seeds ahead of Selection Sunday. Experts from CBS Sports predict Michigan as the No. 1 overall seed, with Duke and Arizona also locks for top spots. The debate centers around the fourth No. 1 seed between Houston and Iowa State, with Houston's predictive metrics giving it an edge despite a head-to-head loss to the Cyclones.
The preview will address key questions about Florida's standing as a potential No. 2 seed and whether Texas Tech can secure a No. 4 spot despite JT Toppin's injury. Alabama, on a five-game winning streak, is close to a No. 5 seed but could push for a No. 4. The committee’s decisions will hinge on resume strength, predictive metrics, and recent performance.
Experts like Gary Parrish and David Cobb highlight the importance of metrics like Wins Above Bubble (WAB) and KenPom ratings in determining rankings. While Florida might edge out Purdue as a No. 2 seed based on its strong resume, Gonzaga’s Quad 3 loss to Portland keeps it at a No. 4 spot. Alabama’s recent success could propel it into the final seeding line.
This preview matters because it provides clarity and insight for fans and teams preparing for the tournament. It offers a snapshot of where each team stands and how the committee prioritizes factors like strength of schedule, quality wins, and predictive analytics. For sports enthusiasts, this is an essential guide to understanding the bracket's structure and potential matchups.
By addressing uncertainties and highlighting key debates, the preview adds depth to the narrative surrounding the NCAA Tournament. It not only informs fans but also sets the stage for further analysis as Selection Sunday approaches. This event is crucial for basketball fans seeking to navigate the complexities of college hoops and anticipate the excitement of March Madness.
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Originally published on CBS Sports on 2/20/2026