Bracketology: UConn still has challengers for fourth No. 1 seed, can Purdue or Iowa State make a charge?
CBS Sports
by
David Cobb
February 25, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
With just over two weeks until Selection Sunday, Duke, Michigan, and Arizona are virtual locks for No. 1 seeds in the 2026 NCAA Tournament, each with a near-99% chance according to bracket projections. UConn currently holds the fourth No. 1 seed spot, but several teams still have a small yet non-negligible chance of overtaking them. Purdue (4.7%), Iowa State (3.3%), Houston (2.8%), Florida (0.9%), and Illinois (0.3%) remain in the hunt, with UConn's 88.2% probability making it the strong favorite but not a guaranteed outcome.
Purdue, ranked fifth in WAB scores, has a solid resume despite a mid-season losing streak. Their upcoming games against Michigan State, Ohio State, and Wisconsin could bolster their case if they secure wins. Iowa State, meanwhile, faces a pivotal test against Arizona, with potential victories over Texas Tech and Arizona helping them close the gap on UConn. Houston’s chances hinge on performing well in the Big 12 Tournament
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Originally published on CBS Sports on 2/25/2026