Can President Kiir stabilize South Sudan?

Deutsche Welle

February 26, 2026

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South Sudan’s political instability continues to deepen under President Salva Kiir, with frequent leadership reshuffles raising concerns about governance and economic collapse. The latest changes include the removal of Finance Minister Bak Barnaba Chol just five months into his role and the suspension of the first vice president, Riek Machar, who is now facing treason charges. These moves highlight the weak institutional framework and reliance on tribal alliances within Kiir’s government. Experts warn that the lack of resources, compounded by reduced oil revenues due to Sudan’s civil war, has pushed South Sudan into survival mode, where officials prioritize short-term gains over long-term stability. The financial strain is加剧ing political tensions, as Kiir struggles to maintain support from defectors and opposition groups. Analysts note that the government’s reliance on oil revenue, which dropped by 70% due to regional conflicts, has left it unable to fund key institutions or address growing public needs. This economic instability has contributed to widespread corruption and mismanagement, further eroding trust in the government. Meanwhile, violence in Jonglei State has displaced hundreds of thousands of people, leaving many without access to basic necessities like food and healthcare. The conflict between Kiir’s national army and Machar’s SPLA-iO forces has created a humanitarian crisis, with 280,000 people fleeing their homes and over 825,000 children at risk of malnutrition. The situation is exacerbated by the lack of resources to address these crises, as the government focuses on maintaining power through political maneuvering rather than addressing systemic issues. The ongoing instability in South Sudan raises fears of a return to full-scale civil war, especially with Machar’s trial and detention of his allies. This political turmoil not only threatens South Sudan’s stability but also has broader implications for regional security and international aid efforts. The situation underscores the urgent need for strengthened institutions and economic reforms to prevent further escalation and ensure lasting peace in the region.

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Originally published on Deutsche Welle on 2/26/2026