College basketball futures: Expert picks best bets, value play and a team to avoid in national title odds
CBS Sports
by
Thomas Casale
February 25, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
The NCAA Tournament is just weeks away, and college basketball expert Thomas Casale highlights key teams to watch as the season approaches its climax. While Michigan (+380), Duke (+420), and Arizona (+500) are clear favorites, there’s value in lesser-known teams like UConn (+2000) and Arkansas (+4000). UConn, despite a recent loss to St. John's, boasts strong defensive metrics and a solid non-conference record, making it an intriguing option at its current odds. Casale emphasizes the importance of balancing offensive and defensive efficiency, which UConn currently ranks highly in, though its free-throw shooting remains a concern.
Meanwhile, Arkansas (+4000) is gaining traction due to its high turnover percentage and standout freshman Darius Acuff. The Razorbacks’ ability to maintain possession and compete defensively could make them a surprise semifinalist or even champion if they secure a favorable bracket draw. On the other hand, Louisville (+8000) struggles with consistency, particularly on the road, and its 9-6 record in a weaker ACC conference raises doubts about its tournament prospects.
For sports enthusiasts and bettors, these insights provide valuable opportunities to identify underappreciated teams that could potentially outperform expectations. UConn’s current odds offer a compelling buy point for those looking for value, while Arkansas’ defensive flaws notwithstanding, present an interesting case due to their offensive strengths and key player potential. As the tournament approaches, keeping an eye on these teams could yield unexpected rewards in March Madness predictions.
With only two weeks left in the regular season, every game matters as teams jostle for position. UConn’s upcoming rematch with St. John’s is pivotal, as a win could drop their odds to +1500, solidifying their championship chances. Similarly, Arkansas’ fast-paced style and defensive challenges will be crucial in determining their tournament trajectory. For those seeking alternative options beyond the top-tier favorites, these teams offer intriguing possibilities for adding some excitement to their betting strategies.
Ultimately, this analysis underscores the importance of staying informed about both the strengths and weaknesses of each team as the season progresses. Whether you’re a casual fan or a serious bettor, understanding the nuances can make all the difference in predicting outcomes and maximizing your chances of success in college basketball’s most thrilling event.
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Originally published on CBS Sports on 2/25/2026