Contributor: Don't mistake military escalation in Iran for an actual strategy - Los Angeles Times

Los Angeles Times

by Jon Duffy

February 26, 2026

AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary

The U.S. is reportedly considering targeted military strikes on Iran as part of efforts to pressure Tehran into accepting demands for "zero enrichment" of nuclear material during ongoing talks in Geneva. However, this approach risks misinterpretation and escalation, with potential consequences far beyond the negotiating table. While President Trump has argued that past strikes have "obliterated" Iran's program, critics warn that such actions could be seen as an existential threat in Tehran, complicating diplomatic efforts rather than forcing compliance. The strategic calculus behind military action is flawed, as it assumes a linear and predictable response from Iran. Leaders under external attack tend to consolidate power, heightening nationalist sentiment and hardening positions. This dynamic makes moderate outcomes less likely, as Tehran may view U.S. actions as an existential threat, leading to entrenchment rather than concessions. Additionally, the scale of potential conflict with Iran is far more complex than recent limited strikes against weaker adversaries. Iran's extensive missile arsenal, air defenses, and proxy networks across the Middle East pose significant risks to U.S. interests and allies. The article emphasizes that military force should not be used as a negotiating tactic unless there is an imminent threat. Congress, not the president, holds constitutional authority to declare war or authorize sustained hostilities. The administration's consideration of unilateral action raises concerns about bypassing democratic processes and the potential for unintended escalation. Furthermore, past successes in limited military operations against weaker targets like Nigeria or Venezuela have created a false sense of manageability, which may not translate to Iran's more robust capabilities. Ultimately, preventing Iran from

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Originally published on Los Angeles Times on 2/26/2026