Duke vs. Virginia odds, prediction: 2026 college basketball picks for February 28 from proven model
CBS Sports
by
Daniel Kohn
February 28, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
The highly anticipated college basketball clash between the No. 1 Duke Blue Devils and the No. 11 Virginia Cavaliers is set to take place on Saturday in Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, N.C., with Duke holding a significant 10.5-point spread advantage over Virginia. Both teams enter the game on winning streaks: Virginia has won nine consecutive games, while Duke has secured five straight victories. The Cavaliers (25-3, 13-2 ACC) are also impressing on the road with an 8-1 record this season, and Duke (26-2, 14-1 ACC) remains unbeaten at home, holding a perfect 13-0 mark in their主场. The game is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with the over/under set at 141.5 points.
SportsLine's Projection Model has simulated this matchup 10,000 times and predicts that the total points scored will exceed 149 in nearly 70% of cases. The model also projects strong performances from key players on both teams. For Virginia, Thijs De Ridder is expected to score 13.5 points, while Duke's Cameron Boozer is projected to tally 21.7 points. This game could be a pivotal moment in the ACC standings as both teams fight for supremacy in one of college basketball's most storied rivalries.
The model's recent success includes an 11-1 run on over/under picks and a 20-11 record on top-rated side selections, making it a valuable tool for bet
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Originally published on CBS Sports on 2/28/2026