F1 predicted running order for 2026: Who is on top of the new cars? - ESPN

ESPN

by Laurence Edmondson and Nate Saunders

February 21, 2026

AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary

Formula 1's preseason testing has concluded, and teams are preparing for the 2026 season. Based on data from Bahrain's tests and insights from paddock sources, Mercedes is expected to lead the pack. Despite rumors of overhyping their performance, Mercedes demonstrated strong lap times and consistent pacing during long runs, suggesting they may be holding back some potential. The team's quiet confidence contrasts with past seasons but aligns with expectations as a front-runner. Ferrari closely follows Mercedes, with Charles Leclerc setting the quickest laps in Bahrain. However, questions remain about their long-run pace compared to Mercedes. While Ferrari showed impressive single-lap speeds, especially during optimal track conditions, their extended stints were less competitive, raising doubts about their overall race strategy. Red Bull rounded out the top three, showcasing consistent lap times and a balanced approach between speed and efficiency. Though they didn't top single laps or long runs, their performance indicates strong potential for podium finishes this season. Their ability to adapt and optimize throughout testing has kept them in contention. McLaren also made strides, with Lando Norris matching Mercedes' lap times using a Ferrari power unit. This partnership has strengthened McLaren's position as a contender, though they may start the season just behind Mercedes and Ferrari. Their reliability and consistency during tests bode well for their race performance.

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Originally published on ESPN on 2/21/2026