Fade the Stars NBA player props, picks, odds, Wednesday best bets: Back Nikola Jokic, Victor Wembanyama Unders
CBS Sports
by
Owen OBrien
February 25, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
The article highlights SportsLine's computer model predictions for Wednesday's NBA games, focusing on fading top stars by betting on "Unders" for key statistics like points, rebounds, and assists. The model identifies Nikola Jokic, Cade Cunningham, and Victor Wembanyama as players with potential value in Under bets due to their upcoming matchups against strong defensive teams.
Jokic, Denver's star center, is projected to finish under 12.5 rebounds despite his league-leading average of 12.5 per game. The model notes Jokic's inconsistent performance against the Celtics, including a recent game where he only grabbed nine rebounds. With Boston ranked eighth in rebounds allowed per game, the model projects Jokic to secure around 11.7 rebounds on Wednesday.
Cunningham, Detroit's rising guard, is another target for an Under bet at 9.5 assists. While Cunningham leads the NBA with 9.8 assists per game, the Pistons face a tough test against the Oklahoma City Thunder, who boast the league's second-best scoring defense and have limited opponents to single-digit assists in five straight games. The model predicts Cunningham to finish under this total due to the defensive pressure from the Thunder.
Lastly, Wembanyama, San Antonio's phenom, is projected to fall short of 38.5 points + rebounds + assists. Despite his impressive average of 38.4 PRA (points + rebounds + assists) this season, Wembanyama faces a challenging matchup against the Toronto Raptors, who rank eighth in scoring defense and ninth in rebounding allowed per game. The model suggests Wembanyama's road performance has been slightly below his season
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Originally published on CBS Sports on 2/25/2026