Florida vs. Texas odds, prediction: 2026 college basketball picks for February 25 from proven model
CBS Sports
by
Daniel Kohn
February 25, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
The Florida Gators and Texas Longhorns are set to clash in a crucial Southeastern Conference (SEC) matchup on February 25, with Florida looking to extend its winning streak to eight games. Currently ranked seventh in the nation, the Gators enter the game with a strong 21-6 record and a commanding 12-2 lead in the SEC standings. Meanwhile, Texas, sitting at eighth place in the conference with an 8-6 record, will aim to improve its position. The game, held at Texas' Moody Center in Austin, is a key showdown for both teams as they vie for supremacy in the SEC.
Florida’s recent dominance on the road has been notable, with a solid 6-2 record away from home this season. Their most recent victory came against Ole Miss, where they secured a convincing 94-75 win. This performance showcased their offensive prowess and defensive resilience, which will be crucial against Texas. On the other hand, Texas dropped its last game to Georgia but has proven to be a strong home team, boasting a 12-3 record in Austin this season. The Longhorns’ ability to perform well at home could give them an edge in this matchup.
SportsLine’s Projection Model has simulated the game 10,000 times and predicts that Florida will emerge victorious with a score of 85-79, giving them a narrow win. The model highlights the Gators’ depth, projecting five players to score at least 10.6 points each, led by Thomas Haugh’s expected 17.2 points. Texas, while formidable, is projected to have four players scoring over 14.1 points, with Dailyn Swain leading the charge at 17.4 points.
The betting odds reflect Florida’s slight edge, with them favored as a 6.5-point favorite and an implied money line of -297, while Texas is listed at +236. The over/under for total points scored is set at 157.5. Both teams’ recent performances suggest that scoring could be high, with the Over hitting in seven of Texas’s last ten games and five of their most
Verticals
sports
Originally published on CBS Sports on 2/25/2026