Four Years on, Europe Is Taking Over

Foreign Policy

by Carl Bildt

February 23, 2026

AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary

Four years into Russia’s war against Ukraine, it has become increasingly clear that Russian President Vladimir Putin’s efforts have been met with significant failure. Despite amassing over 1 million casualties and controlling less than 20% of Ukrainian territory, Putin shows no signs of conceding defeat or agreeing to a ceasefire. His strategy relies on three pillars: hoping his military can turn things around, convincing the Trump administration to pressure Kyiv into accepting Russia’s demands, and betting that European fatigue will lead to a withdrawal of support for Ukraine. However, none of these avenues seem likely to succeed. Europe has emerged as a critical player in Ukraine’s defense, with most Europeans viewing the conflict as their own. This shift is evident in the continent’s unwavering financial and military support for Ukraine. While U.S. aid has decreased since the start of the Trump administration, European countries have stepped up, providing over 90% of financial assistance and nearly 95% of military aid last year. A recent EU loan agreement of 90 billion euros ensures Ukraine’s stability through 2026 and 2027. The article highlights how Europe’s commitment to Ukraine’s security has evolved into a long-term endeavor. While there may be some temporary arrangements with Russia, the key to Ukraine’s survival lies in its ability to defend itself, supported by European assistance. The Kremlin’s attempts to launch major offensives, as seen in 2024 and 2025, have failed repeatedly. Ultimately, Putin’s persistence in the conflict risks further weakening Russia’s position on the global stage. This situation matters deeply to anyone tracking geopolitical dynamics. Europe’s resilience and commitment to Ukraine underscore a significant shift in international relations, challenging Russia’s ambitions and reinforcing the importance of collective defense. As the war continues, the outcome will have far-reaching implications for European security structures and Putin’s vision for regional dominance. The article serves as a reminder that while the conflict remains unresolved, its impact on global politics is undeniable. In conclusion, Europe’s decisive role in supporting Ukraine has not only altered the trajectory of the war but also strengthened the continent’s unity and resolve. As tensions persist, the stakes remain high, with the outcome shaping the future of European security and Russia’s strategic interests. The article emphasizes that while the end of the conflict is uncertain, Europe’s sustained commitment to Ukraine’s sovereignty and defense remains a

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Originally published on Foreign Policy on 2/23/2026