IMD forecasts above-normal heatwave days in several states: What you need to know
Times of India
by TOI CITY DESKMarch 2, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast an above-normal number of heatwave days across several states in India between March and May 2024. While March is expected to start with relatively moderate temperatures for most regions, the summer months ahead could bring prolonged spells of high temperatures, particularly in key areas like West Rajasthan, Gujarat, Haryana, Punjab, and parts of Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha, and Tamil Nadu. This prediction comes as weak La Niña conditions persist over the equatorial Pacific, while neutral conditions continue over the Indian Ocean, influencing weather patterns.
The IMD defines a heatwave as occurring when maximum temperatures reach at least 40°C in the plains or 30°C in hilly regions, with deviations of 4.5°C to 6.4°C above normal, or when temperatures hit 45°C or higher regardless of normal variations. For March, most parts of India are likely to experience near-normal rainfall, with below-normal precipitation forecasted over northeast and northwest regions. However, central and peninsular areas may see slightly above-normal daytime temperatures.
Chandigarh is an exception, with largely normal weather expected in March 2026. The city is unlikely to face significant heatwave activity this month, as maximum temperatures are projected to remain near average. In contrast, Tamil Nadu, including Chennai, is bracing for a hotter summer ahead. Heatwave days could range from three to nine along the coast and up to 15 days in some northern districts. Minimum temperatures are expected to stay near normal, but the peak summer month of May typically sees maximum temperatures around 37.3°C.
This forecast highlights the growing concern over extreme heat events in India, which can have significant implications for public health, agriculture, and energy demand. As global temperatures rise and weather patterns shift, such predictions underscore the need for preparedness to mitigate the risks associated with prolonged heatwaves. For regions already vulnerable to heat stress, this forecast serves as a crucial reminder of the challenges ahead.
Verticals
worldasia
Originally published on Times of India on 3/2/2026