Indiana vs. Purdue odds, prediction, time: 2026 college basketball picks for Feb. 20 from proven model
CBS Sports
by
Daniel Kohn
February 20, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
The Indiana Hoosiers and Purdue Boilermakers are set to clash in a crucial Big Ten conference game on Friday night at Mackey Arena. With Purdue holding a significant 11.5-point favorite status, the stakes are high for both teams. Indiana enters the matchup with a 17-9 record (8-7 Big Ten), while Purdue boasts a stronger 21-5 overall record and an impressive 11-3 home court performance. The game marks a key showdown in their conference standings, with Purdue currently tied for third and Indiana sitting in tenth place.
SportsLine's Projection Model has simulated the game over 10,000 times, revealing that the Over/Under of 149.5 points is expected to hit in 72% of scenarios. This prediction aligns with recent trends, as the Over has been prevalent in four out of seven past head-to-head meetings between these teams. Indiana's Lamar Wilkerson is projected to lead his team with a strong 21.5-point performance, while Purdue’s Braden Smith is expected to contribute 17.2 points, showcasing the offensive potential from both sides.
The model also highlights that Purdue has a higher probability of winning the spread, with their defense and home-court advantage likely proving decisive. Indiana's struggles on the road (3-6 this season) could play a significant role in the outcome. Additionally, both teams are projected to have multiple players scoring over 10 points, underscoring the competitive nature of this matchup.
For sports enthusiasts and bettors, this game offers valuable insights into team performance and betting strategies. The clash between Indiana's resilience and Purdue's consistent home dominance makes it a must-watch event. With the model predicting a strong showing for Purdue, fans and analysts will be closely monitoring how these teams perform under pressure.
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Originally published on CBS Sports on 2/20/2026