Mario Barrios vs. Ryan Garcia fight odds: Prediction, picks, props from accomplished boxing expert
CBS Sports
by
Daniel Kohn
February 20, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
Mario Barrios is set to defend his WBC welterweight title against Ryan Garcia in a highly anticipated 12-round fight on Saturday, with Josh Nagel of SportsLine offering his expert analysis and predictions for the event. The bout is shaping up as one of the most closely watched boxing matches of the year, with both fighters bringing unique strengths to the ring. Barrios enters the fight with an impressive track record, including a split decision draw against Abel Ramos in November 2024 and another close contest with Manny Pacquiao last July. His ability to secure draws in high-stakes fights suggests he is a resilient competitor, capable of weathering tough challenges while maintaining his title.
Garcia, on the other hand, is known for his knockout power, having secured 20 wins by KO in his career. However, his recent loss to Rolando Romero in May highlights potential vulnerabilities when facing disciplined opponents. The betting odds reflect this dynamic, with Garcia listed as a -270 favorite and Barrios at +210. Nagel, a seasoned combat sports expert, has tipped Barrios to win by decision at +320, citing his experience and defensive skills as key factors in the outcome.
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Originally published on CBS Sports on 2/20/2026