Putin’s strategy is that Ukraine will fall before he does: Ex-FM Kuleba
Al Jazeera
February 23, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
As Ukraine approaches the fifth year of its conflict with Russia, former Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba reflects on the evolving nature of the war and its uncertain future. In an interview with Al Jazeera, Kuleba emphasizes that optimism about a potential ceasefire is tied to the end of winter in Ukraine, as Russian attacks on energy infrastructure aim to break Ukrainian resolve. He warns that any chance for peace depends on two critical factors: whether Russia can achieve battlefield advances or if its economy will collapse under strain.
Kuleba also discusses Russia's negotiating tactics, asserting that Moscow has a history of testing limits at the bargaining table rather than genuinely seeking resolutions. Putin’s strategy, according to Kuleba, is rooted in the belief that Ukraine will surrender before Russia does. This perspective highlights the ongoing struggle for territorial control and the psychological battle between the two nations.
Reflecting on the early stages of the war, Kuleba admits that while initial expectations were for a short conflict, he prepared for the possibility of a prolonged fight. By 2022, hopes for victory centered on reclaiming pre-2014 borders, but these aspirations were dashed after failed counteroffensives in late 2023. Kuleba’s remarks underscore the shifting definitions of success and the harsh realities faced by Ukraine as it continues to defend its sovereignty.
The interview provides valuable insights into the motivations and challenges driving both sides of the conflict. As the war drags on, questions about Ukraine's resilience, Russia’s strategic goals, and the role of international alliances remain pivotal for understanding this complex geopolitical landscape.
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Originally published on Al Jazeera on 2/23/2026