Spurs vs. Pistons odds, prediction, spread, time: 2026 NBA picks for Monday, February 23 from proven model
CBS Sports
by
Daniel Lewis
February 23, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
A highly anticipated matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and Detroit Pistons is set to take center stage on Monday, February 23, with potential NBA Finals implications. Both teams enter the game in strong form, as the Spurs, led by star player Victor Wembanyama, are riding an impressive eight-game winning streak and sit second in the Western Conference standings at 40-16. Meanwhile, the Pistons, paced by Cade Cunningham, hold the top spot in the Eastern Conference with a 42-13 record and have won five straight games.
The game will be held at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, with tipoff scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Initially, the Spurs were favored with a -2.25 spread, but recent updates show the Pistons as 1.5-point favorites. The over/under total points line is set at 232.5, reflecting expectations of a competitive and tightly contested game. Bettors looking for promotional offers can take advantage of DraftKings' $200 bonus bets on their first qualifying win or Peacock's streaming deal with an exclusive promo code.
SportsLine’s Projection Model has simulated the game 10,000 times and predicts a low-scoring affair, leaning toward the "Under" on the total points. This projection aligns with both teams' defensive strengths, as the Spurs rank first in defensive efficiency and the Pistons sit at second. Historically, 58% of San Antonio's games and 56% of Detroit's contests have resulted in totals under the set line this season. The model also highlights that Wembanyama and Cunningham are projected to score slightly below their season averages, further supporting a game that emphasizes defense over high-scoring plays.
Bettors should note that the model has generated an against-the-spread pick with nearly 70% accuracy in simulations. This suggests a strong edge for one team to cover the spread, though the exact
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Originally published on CBS Sports on 2/23/2026