The battle to flip Texas
The Economist
February 26, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
Democrats face a historic opportunity to make significant gains in the 2026 midterm elections, driven by former President Donald Trump's lingering unpopularity. While Trump is not on the ballot, his influence looms large over races nationwide, particularly in key battleground states like Texas. The Lone Star State, traditionally a Republican stronghold, has emerged as a critical battleground where Democrats aim to capitalize on voter dissatisfaction with Trump-era policies and leadership.
Texas serves as a microcosm of this national shift. Once a reliably red state, it now features competitive races for both the House and Senate, reflecting broader changes in voter sentiment. Democrats are mobilizing their base, particularly among younger voters and urban populations, while Republicans struggle to maintain their historical dominance. The stakes are high: flipping Texas could signal a broader realignment in American politics, potentially shifting the balance of power in Congress.
For businesses and economists, this political shift matters because it could influence policy directions that impact markets, regulations, and economic growth. A Democratic victory in Texas and other key states could lead to changes in tax policies, labor laws, and infrastructure investments. This realignment not only reshapes the political landscape but also has far-reaching implications for the business community, making the 2026 midterms a pivotal moment in both politics and economics.
In this high-stakes environment, voter turnout will be crucial. Democrats are banking on getting their supporters to the polls, particularly in districts where they hold narrow leads. Campaigns are intensifying across the state, with candidates focusing on issues like healthcare, education, and economic inequality. The outcome of these races could determine whether Democrats achieve a historic upset or if Republicans manage to hold onto their majority.
Ultimately, the battle for Texas—and by extension, the midterms—will be remembered as a defining moment in modern American politics. Its resolution will not only shape the next Congress but also set the stage for future elections and policy debates. For businesses and economists, staying attuned to these developments is essential to understanding how political shifts could affect the economic landscape in the years ahead.
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Originally published on The Economist on 2/26/2026