The Debate - Why the threat of bombing campaign? Trump's Iran gambit
France 24
by François PICARDFebruary 23, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
The U.S. is escalating tensions with Iran by deploying a second aircraft carrier to the Middle East, alongside a fleet of ships and aircraft, signaling a potential military confrontation. While Iran's regime has been weakened internally following widespread protests earlier this year, it remains a formidable power with a large military arsenal, including homegrown missiles and drones. The strategic importance of the Strait of Hormuz, which carries over one-fifth of the world’s oil and gas, adds urgency to the situation. This potential conflict raises questions about whether the U.S. is prepared for all possible outcomes, particularly in such a critical global waterway.
The article also delves into why this moment has been chosen for such a gambit. President Trump, known for his "America First" approach and avoidance of boots-on-the-ground conflicts, has already shown willingness to use force against Iran, as seen in the 2019 U.S.-Israeli joint bombing of Iranian nuclear installations. Now, with a new ultimatum centered largely on Iran's nuclear program but also touching on broader regional issues, questions arise about Trump's true intentions and whether he would authorize further military action.
Additionally, the piece considers how the Islamic Republic and its Supreme Leader view these developments. Following the regime's harsh crackdown on protesters in January, there is uncertainty about whether Iran will emerge stronger or more vulnerable from this potential conflict. Experts weigh in on the strategic implications for both sides, with some suggesting that a confrontation could further destabilize the region and impact global oil prices.
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Originally published on France 24 on 2/23/2026