This time is different
Hacker News
February 26, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
This article critiques the recurring cycle of hype surrounding new technologies and argues against the overemphasis on Artificial Intelligence (AI) as the sole future-shaping innovation. It highlights how enthusiasts often dismiss past failed trends like 3D TV, AMP, and Quibi while claiming AI is different and revolutionary. The piece warns against the mindset that "this time is different," a phrase linked to costly investment mistakes, suggesting AI will likely follow a similar trajectory of blending into a broader tech landscape rather than dominating it.
The article lists various technologies—some useful, others niche or cult-driven—that have persisted despite initial overhype. It acknowledges AI's potential but cautions against viewing it as a standalone solution to all future challenges. Drawing parallels to past trends like curved TVs and hoverboards, the author emphasizes that while some innovations find a place in society, they often do so in mundane ways rather than revolutionizing life as claimed.
The piece matters to tech enthusiasts and investors because it encourages critical thinking about emerging technologies. By highlighting historical patterns of hype and underdelivery, it提醒 readers to avoid盲目 investment and adopt a more skeptical yet realistic approach to innovation. This perspective is particularly relevant in today's AI-driven landscape, where excitement often overshadows practicality and sustainability.
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Originally published on Hacker News on 2/26/2026