UAB vs. Memphis odds, prediction, time: 2026 college basketball picks for Feb. 22 from proven model
CBS Sports
by
Daniel Kohn
February 22, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
The Memphis Tigers aim to end a three-game losing streak and prevent a season sweep as they face the UAB Blazers in a crucial American Athletic Conference matchup on February 22. Both teams enter the game with mixed performances: UAB secured a win at Temple, while Memphis dropped a game against South Florida. The Tigers, who hold a strong home record, are slight favorites with a 4.5-point spread, but the game’s total points projection of 152.5 suggests a lower-scoring contest.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates games thousands of times, predicts that the under (total points scored) is likely to hit, as both teams have struggled to exceed the projected total in recent matchups. UAB, ranked fourth in the AAC with an 8-6 conference record and a solid 10-3 road performance, features players like Jacob Meyer, who is expected to score 15 points. Memphis, sixth in the AAC with a 7-6 record, relies on key players like Dug McDaniel, projected for 15.8 points. The model’s simulations show that the under (152.5 points) has a 49.2% chance of hitting.
For bettors, this matchup offers an opportunity to capitalize on trends: the under has consistently performed well in both teams’ recent games. Additionally, the model highlights UAB’s potential for multiple high scorers, while Memphis’ defense may limit the total points. This game matters not only for the teams’ conference standings but also for bettors seeking value in college basketball predictions and betting advice.
Readers interested in sports betting and college basketball will find this analysis valuable as it provides insights into team performance trends, player projections, and strategic betting opportunities. The matchup between Memphis and UAB promises to be a competitive contest with implications for both teams’ AAC standings and the overall college basketball season.
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Originally published on CBS Sports on 2/22/2026