UK weather: Temperatures forecast to climb to 14C despite lingering rain
BBC World
February 20, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
The UK is set for a significant shift in its weather pattern as temperatures rise sharply, climbing to around 14°C by the weekend. This warming trend follows a prolonged cold spell marked by frost, ice, and hill snow, which is now beginning to ease. However, while the mercury will rise, the change brings with it increased rainfall, particularly over western hills, raising concerns about flooding in areas already experiencing waterlogged ground.
The current wintry conditions are being pushed eastward, making way for milder air from the Atlantic. South-westerly winds will dominate, bringing higher temperatures of 10-14°C during daylight hours across much of the country. Nighttime lows will also rise, reducing the risk of frost but not eliminating it entirely. This shift is partly due to a change in the jet stream, which has been positioned over the UK for several weeks. As it moves further north, it allows warmer air to flow into the region.
The persistent rain and saturated ground have already led to flooding in parts of England, with regions like Cornwall experiencing rain on 50 consecutive days. Scotland has seen particularly heavy rainfall in some areas, with certain locations accumulating half a year's worth of rain in just a few weeks. The wettest places across each home nation are reporting rainfall totals well above average.
This change in weather patterns is significant for several reasons. First, it marks an end to the unusually cold and snowy start to 2026 in many parts of the UK, including Scotland, where temperatures have struggled to reach 12°C since 1986—a record wait. Second, the prolonged rainfall and saturated ground conditions mean that flooding risks remain high, particularly in England, through March.
For readers interested in global weather trends, this shift highlights the dynamic nature of climate patterns and their impact on local communities. While the warmer temperatures may be welcomed by many, the associated flooding risks underscore the importance of staying informed about weather forecasts and preparing for potential disruptions.
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Originally published on BBC World on 2/20/2026