USA vs. Canada odds, prediction: 2026 Olympic men's hockey gold-medal picks from expert on 26-12 roll
CBS Sports
by
Daniel Kohn
February 22, 2026
AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary
The highly anticipated gold-medal showdown between Team USA and Canada at the 2026 Winter Olympics men's hockey tournament will mark the eighth time these two rivals have faced off for the ultimate prize, with Canada holding a strong historical advantage. With Matthew Severance, an NHL insider known for his successful betting predictions, sharing his insights on SportsLine, fans can gain valuable perspective ahead of this historic clash.
Canada enters the final as the heavy favorite, backed by a -122 money line and a dominant performance throughout the tournament. Their path to victory includes a thrilling 3-2 win over Finland in the semifinals, showcasing their resilience and skill. On the other hand, the United States has been equally impressive, defeating Slovakia 6-2 in the semifinals and outscoring opponents 16-5 in group play. However, it's Canada who holds the edge in Olympic history, with six gold medals to the U.S.'s two since the first Winter Games in 1920.
Severance has analyzed the matchup extensively and identified a key factor that influences his betting strategy. He is confident enough to recommend taking the "Under 5.5 goals" at -160 odds, citing historical trends of low-scoring finals between these two teams. With Canada's defensive strength and the U.S.'s pragmatic approach, a tightly contested game with limited opportunities could be expected.
For sports enthusiasts and hockey fans, this matchup represents not only a thrilling competition but also a chance to witness history in the making. The rivalry between the two nations on the ice adds an extra layer of intensity, making it a must-watch event for anyone following the Olympics. Whether you're rooting for the defending champions or hoping for an upset, the game promises to deliver unforgettable moments.
As the puck drops at Palazzetto dello Sport in Milan, all eyes will be
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Originally published on CBS Sports on 2/22/2026