What a Gorton byelection win would mean for Reform, Greens and Labour

The Guardian World

by Jessica Elgot Deputy political editor

February 26, 2026

AI-Generated Deep Dive Summary

The Gorton and Denton byelection has emerged as a pivotal test for Labour leader Keir Starmer ahead of what are anticipated to be poor results in the upcoming May local elections. Polls indicate a three-way dead heat among Labour, Reform UK, and the Green Party, with each contender closely matched. This development is particularly significant given that Gorton was once considered a safe seat for Labour, now facing serious threats from smaller parties. If Labour were to lose, it would intensify scrutiny on Starmer’s decision to block Andy Burnham, the mayor of Greater Manchester, from contesting the seat. The byelection has become a microcosm of Labour’s broader challenges as it grapples with rising competition from Reform UK and the Greens. These parties have gained traction by capitalizing on voter disillusionment with traditional political factions and pushing for progressive policies such as greater environmental action and political reform. The race reflects how even once-loyal Labour strongholds are now up for grabs, highlighting the shifting dynamics of UK politics. For Starmer and Labour, this byelection is a critical opportunity to demonstrate resilience. A loss could undermine confidence in their leadership and signal deeper issues within the party ahead of key contests later in 2023. Conversely, securing victory would bolster Labour’s position and send a message that they remain a dominant force in UK politics despite growing challenges. The outcome of this byelection will likely set the tone for Labour’s strategy moving forward, particularly as it prepares to face potentially devastating losses in the local elections. Beyond immediate political implications, the race underscores broader trends reshaping the UK’s political landscape, making it an essential reference point for anyone tracking the evolution of world politics and its

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Originally published on The Guardian World on 2/26/2026